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PLTR · NasdaqGS

Palantir

Mission software, Maven/AIP, VNav for sUAS

Autonomy / softwarePure-play 6Defense 40Disclosed

172.40

+2.1%

Mkt cap $412.7B

Research score

62

Adjust weights in Scoring

Last Q revenue

n.d.

2026-08-24

Q YoY

n.d.

Backlog

n.d.

unable

Last print · Yahoo Finance spark (query1)

What it actually does

Sells software. One verified drone integration in this universe: VNav on Black Widow.

Defense autonomy enabler, not a drone manufacturer.

UASNoC-UASPartialMaritimeNoPartsNo

Verified software integration with a U.S. Army PoR sUAS (VNav × Black Widow). Included as a defense-autonomy enabler with a 6/100 pure-play score — not as a drone OEM.

Buy-side thesis

If sUAS need GPS-denied nav as a software attach, Palantir is already on a PoR airframe.

Quality of earnings is in a different league than UAS hardware micro-caps.

Sell-side thesis

Drone is rounding error. A 10x in Red Cat does not 10x Palantir.

Valuation risk is the stock's dominant factor (52-week $106–$207, mcap ~$420B).

Financial quality

High, and irrelevant to a drone book except as a partner check on RCAT.

Earnings review

Do not use PLTR prints as a drone monitor. Use the RCAT integration for the thesis.

Why the score / why it can break

Supports

  • Balance-sheet heat is a relative strength.
  • Verified software integration with a U.S. Army PoR sUAS (VNav × Black Widow). Included as a defense-autonomy enabler with a 6/100 pure-play score — not as a drone OEM.
  • Verified software integration with a U.S. Army PoR sUAS (VNav × Black Widow). Included as a defense-autonomy enabler with a 6/100 pure-play score — not as a drone OEM.

Risks to the score

  • Valuation risk is elevated vs. the rest of the book.
  • Dilution / issuance flags are on.
  • Incomplete disclosure in this research set.

Scenarios — not a price target

CasePRevenueMarginsDilutionMultipleImpl. cap / px
bear25%CompanycompanySBCcompressionn.d. / software multiple crush
base50%CompanycompanySBCholdsn.d. / beta to software/gov
bull25%Company + defense attachcompanySBCholds/expandsn.d. / gov AI premium

Implied prices are arithmetic from stated assumptions. They are not recommendations.